Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 3.436652 4.118111 4.879708 5.791053 6.848873 8.034867 9.461932
2025-05-25 2.344258 3.176324 4.206695 5.564739 7.294389 9.409349 12.174916
2025-06-01 1.763906 2.652489 3.851311 5.560964 7.905570 10.972945 15.247019
2025-06-08 1.391979 2.293929 3.604648 5.603387 8.518712 12.549744 18.461732
2025-06-15 1.112692 1.994251 3.364507 5.582384 8.996626 13.948174 21.533702
2025-06-22 0.854740 1.663856 3.006559 5.307412 9.034094 14.683867 23.692790
2025-06-29 0.702431 1.473530 2.830316 5.275218 9.414163 15.932600 26.686775
2025-07-06 0.582370 1.312645 2.671136 5.237281 9.762917 17.143428 29.702166
2025-07-13 0.532960 1.276085 2.724060 5.567437 10.751817 19.447879 34.615776
2025-07-20 0.472747 1.203603 2.695737 5.741309 11.479860 21.374150 39.051982
2025-07-27 0.432327 1.164671 2.724867 6.022406 12.420981 23.726067 44.357253
2025-08-03 0.371992 1.066454 2.616289 6.017698 12.828674 25.178729 48.227056
2025-08-10 0.302852 0.932012 2.411626 5.798248 12.819205 25.916974 50.963294
2025-08-17 0.242201 0.802751 2.194445 5.519628 12.659684 26.364808 53.216227
2025-08-24 0.207275 0.733430 2.102973 5.498704 13.012300 27.786986 57.331353
2025-08-31 0.180626 0.680499 2.041342 5.534980 13.484219 29.468618 62.038242
2025-09-07 0.155268 0.624027 1.959948 5.512308 13.824568 30.914576 66.390673
2025-09-14 0.124312 0.539177 1.786316 5.239782 13.583260 31.175529 68.468670
2025-09-21 0.106758 0.494412 1.713849 5.207751 13.877072 32.542112 72.799205
2025-09-28 0.091637 0.453298 1.643503 5.170176 14.151909 33.885813 77.165376
2025-10-05 0.088149 0.456427 1.706567 5.496599 15.320840 37.202628 85.733601
2025-10-12 0.080936 0.442077 1.712885 5.668519 16.131309 39.801110 92.970468
2025-10-19 0.076690 0.439104 1.755146 5.946485 17.227879 43.093644 101.833350